Commodities are the raw materials of our world, the natural resources we use to build the things we need and use. Throughout human history, man has exploited our world’s natural resources to improve the quality of human life. Futures traders trade principally in commodities (and in currencies, though that’s not the topic of today’s post). Futures markets allow commercial users to mitigate the risk of fluctuating commodity prices and provide a means for futures traders and investors to profit from those price risks. If you’re going to trade in commodities, you should know a little about them both practically and historically.Our global economy is built on three basic types of commodities, the principal players in the futures market: (more…)

Commodities, like the market, are cyclical in nature, rising and falling according to the current business cycle. Like other market vehicles, commodities are influenced by economic forces. However, unlike other market vehicles, futures traders can trade commodities profitably even in bad times. (more…)

There are four key elements to achieving success as a futures trader:

1. Self-confidence
2. Discipline
3. Ability to handle loss
4. Profitable trading system

Self-confidence. If you aren’t confident that you can become a successful futures trader, you might as well pack it in now and save yourself a lot of grief. Successful futures traders are bold, aggressive and self-assured. They do not lose faith in themselves when they lose. They have the courage and self-confidence to keep trading. Futures traders are risk takers. We are the Mario Andrettis of Wall Street. (more…)

“Back up and look at the big picture.” That’s good advice for futures traders. Moving averages help us sort through sometimes chaotic price variations to see what is really happening in the market. Moving averages allow us to see the forest through the trees. By stripping away price volatility by removing both unusually high and low price variations from consideration, moving averages show us the actual underlying trend. (more…)

Moving averages are one of the oldest trading tools. Futures traders use moving averages to reveal the underlying trend behind short-term price variations. Moving averages are a valuable indicator that can be used with other indicators to trigger buy signals. (more…)

Popularized by legendary futures trader George Lane, the stochastic oscillator (commonly called stochastics) is a timing indicator widely used by futures traders to indicate overbought or  oversold positions. Stochastics compares closing price to price range over a specified time period. The driving principle can be summarized as follows: (more…)

Futures traders come in all flavors but it’s basically a Neapolitan world. You can be a scalper, swing trader or a combination trader. Mindset and methodology generally determine in which sector of the futures trading world you’ll thrive.

Scalpers. Scalpers seek immediate gratification. They look for short-term market movements seeking to shave money off the bid/ask price spread. Holding each position for only a  very short period of time (often only minutes) to minimize risk, scalpers make small gains through rapid trading. (more…)

Futures contracts are complex financial instruments and trading them demands constant daily, even hourly, monitoring. When you trade futures, there are myriad shifting variables that must be monitored continuously. Trading futures is about minimizing risk and maximizing profits. Profits are often made on small price points in an interval of minutes. To make money, you have to be there, in the game, ready to grab an opportunity when it appears. (more…)

We’ve spend some time lately talking about commodities. Anyone who trades futures on the commodity markets ought to know a considerable amount about what they’re trading. But commodities are not futures.

• Commodities are a class of assets that includes energy, metals, agricultural products, natural gas and oil, and other natural resources. Commodities are natural resources, actual physical objects with an inherent value of their own.
• Futures are investment vehicles through which you invest in commodities. Futures can also be used to invest in other asset classes such as currencies, bonds, interest rates, stocks, indexes, etc. Futures have no value in and of themselves. They are known as derivatives because they derive (or take) their value from the underlying financial instrument (i.e., the commodity, currency, stock, etc.)

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To succeed as a futures trader, you need to think creatively about commodities. The story of Sam Brannan, California’s first millionaire, serves as an excellent example:

At the beginning of the 1848 Gold Rush, Sam Brannan, who owned a general store in Sutter’s Fort, discovered that John Sutter and James Marshall had discovered gold. Understandably, the discoverers wanted to keep the strike a secret. Brannan agreed, then quietly scoured northern California buying up every shovel, pick and pan he could find until he had cornered the market. He then went around town yelling, “We found gold!” and the Gold Rush was on. Hundreds of people flocked to northern California, all needing shovels, picks and pans to search for gold. And there was Sam, the only source for hundreds of miles around! Sam Brannan never lifted a shovel, never swung a pick, never shifted a pan in the search for gold, but he became the first millionaire of the Gold Rush — selling shovels. (more…)