The media, particularly television, has a profound effect on the development of public consensus which can drive movement in the markets. People believe what they hear in the news, particularly on television. The prognostications of television economists and financial experts bombard the public, molding public opinion and forming consensus. The problem is that the views of only a small number of people are aired, but aired repetitively, lifting their judgments from the realm of personal opinion to widely accepted fact. The savvy futures trader can make use of this phenomenon.

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Futures trading is a risky business. The untrained, unwary, unknowledgeable, undisciplined or sometimes plain unlucky can lose a fortune — and in an agonizingly short time. In fact, the SEC requires futures trading websites to post a disclaimer concerning the potential risks involved in trading commodity futures. You’ll find a full disclosure statement on my Futures Trading Secrets website.

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Futures traders use stop losses to minimize financial risk and prevent unexpected catastrophe. A stop loss is like an insurance policy. As the name implies, its purpose is to stop losses. A powerful money management tool, stop losses allow the savvy futures trader to manage his losses, to keep them small and contained. Properly applied stop losses can mean the difference between success and failure for futures traders.

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Commodities are the raw materials of our world, the natural resources we use to build the things we need and use. Throughout human history, man has exploited our world’s natural resources to improve the quality of human life. Futures traders trade principally in commodities (and in currencies, though that’s not the topic of today’s post). Futures markets allow commercial users to mitigate the risk of fluctuating commodity prices and provide a means for futures traders and investors to profit from those price risks. If you’re going to trade in commodities, you should know a little about them both practically and historically.Our global economy is built on three basic types of commodities, the principal players in the futures market: (more…)

Commodities, like the market, are cyclical in nature, rising and falling according to the current business cycle. Like other market vehicles, commodities are influenced by economic forces. However, unlike other market vehicles, futures traders can trade commodities profitably even in bad times.

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Playing the commodity market is viewed as (and can be) a risky game. Many investors consider commodities the market’s riskiest asset. The truth is that commodities are no riskier than stocks. Certainly there is risk, as there is in any investment. But the risk is no greater in the commodity markets than it is in any other market.

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Futures contracts are written for a specific, finite time period which means they must be rolled over on a regular basis to remain viable. Some contracts, such as crude oil, expire and need to be rolled monthly. Others, such as cotton or gold, expire and can be rolled only on certain specific months of the year. Expiration dates are specified in the contract and will vary with the asset being traded. Before you buy a contract, you should know what the expiration date is and what your rollover options are. Rollover dates are standardized for contracts of different asset classes and are set by each exchange. It’s important to know and track the specific expiration dates and requirements of futures contracts you purchase so that you don’t miss those all important rollover dates.

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“Your actions affect your attitude and your attitude drives your actions. It can indeed be powerful to get your actions and your attitude working consistently in the same direction.”

As we enter a new year, I find these words from the Daily Motivator of particular import to my life as a futures trader. More than anything else, your daily attitude affects your ability to perform successfully as a futures trader. If you stay positively focused, you will be able to assess your position will confidence and pull the trigger at the precise moment to ensure maximum profitability. Allow negativity or self-doubt to eat away at your confidence and you will fail.

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There is an art to pulling the trigger that futures traders must learn if they are to achieve success. Setting up and learning your system, studying and knowing the market, reviewing your charts and watching your indicators — all these important elements of futures trading come together in that critical moment when you pull the trigger.

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There are a number of qualities that define a successful futures trader — the keys to success.

1. Discipline. Discipline is the primary key to successful futures trading. You must have the discipline to learn your system, study it daily and tweak it to perfection. You must have the discipline to keep a trading log that records your trades, as well as the market conditions, thought processes and external influences that affected each trade. Without such a log, you are doomed to repeat your mistakes, rather than learning from them. You must have the discipline to do your homework, to study and keep up with the market, to keep your system current.
2. Patience. You must be patient if your trading system is to be effective. By trading too soon, you negate the value of your trading system. You must exercise patience and give your system time to work.
3. Loss. Loss is part of the trading game. You must be able to take losses in stride and get right back in the game. When your system dictates that a loss be taken, you must have the discipline to follow your system, take the loss quickly, minimize the damage and move on.
4. Perseverance. There are no overnight success stories in futures trading. Success is a matter of building experience, working and perfecting your system, minimizing losses, and capitalizing on small gains. Success, particularly at the beginning, is more often a series of small steps than giant leaps.
5. Confidence. Above all, a futures trader must have confidence in himself. You must have confidence in your system and your ability to work your system — to pull the trigger. Futures trading is a game of risk. You can’t be afraid to act. You must have confidence in your ability to read your system and act. Those who hesitate are doomed to lose in the futures trading game.
6. Flexibility. The market and market forces are ever-changing. You must have the flexibility to change with the times, to make changes to your system so it remains viable and in tune with current market conditions.