The media, particularly television, has a profound effect on the development of public consensus which can drive movement in the markets. People believe what they hear in the news, particularly on television. The prognostications of television economists and financial experts bombard the public, molding public opinion and forming consensus. The problem is that the views of only a small number of people are aired, but aired repetitively, lifting their judgments from the realm of personal opinion to widely accepted fact. The savvy futures trader can make use of this phenomenon.

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Futures traders have a vast variety of chart types to choose from. The most used are Western bar charts; and the least used, point and figure charts. Newspapers seem to favor line charts for their easy readability. But many futures traders have found Japanese candlestick charts extremely useful, particularly because they make it possible to determine at a glance whether the bulls or the bears are in control of the market.

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The power of the media to lead public opinion has been demonstrated time and again. While the fourth estate would argue that they are merely reporting the news, they do, in fact, manipulate – and to a certain extent create – the news, particularly with regard to the economy and the markets. The market is a reflection (some would say, prediction) of national and world economy. In part, market movement is driven by the emotions of people, their confidence or fear, satisfaction or greed.

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Successful futures traders have learned that there are times with NOT trading is the most successful strategy. Achieving success as a futures trader is 90% mental preparation. If you are not mentally prepared, do NOT trade. It can be dangerous and financially disastrous to trade if you are distracted, angry, worried, scared or emotionally distraught. Just as physical illness, tiredness or pain prevent you from focusing on your trading, so does emotional distress. You must have your head in the game every second to succeed as a futures trader. (more…)

Show me the money! In a nutshell that’s the goal of futures trading: to make money. Charts track money. They peel away the rumors and the news reports, the CEO’s prognostications and your neighbor’s hot tip. They show us what master day trader Oliver Velez terms the footprints of money (ref. Tools and Tactics for the Master Day Trader by Oliver Velez and Greg Capra).

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