What Makes Commodities Attractive To Futures Traders?

Even when the world is at its most turbulent, commodities provide a safe haven for futures traders. Commodities are inelastic goods. In economics, elasticity quantifies how price changes affect supply and demand.

Elastic goods exhibit a high correlation between price and demand. When the price of the good goes up, demand decreases. Elastic goods are generally less-essential goods, meaning that you can live without them or at least use less of them or substitute a less expensive option. The dance between price and demand can be complex. For example, when the cost of milk rises, people buy less milk and fewer milk products. Some people will stop buying milk altogether until the price comes back down. Families with young children who still need milk will serve their children less milk or milk with a lower fat content and, therefore, cheaper price tag. They may substitute enriched soy milk or calcium supplements and calcium-fortified breads and cereals to ensure their children get a full dose of bone-building calcium. Sales on cheese, ice cream and other dairy products will plummet in concert with how necessary they are perceived to be. Ice cream is considered a luxury so when ice cream prices rise, sales fall.

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Futures Traders Need To Think Creatively About Commodities

To succeed as a futures trader, you need to think creatively about commodities. The story of Sam Brannan, California’s first millionaire, serves as an excellent example:

At the beginning of the 1848 Gold Rush, Sam Brannan, who owned a general store in Sutter’s Fort, discovered that John Sutter and James Marshall had discovered gold. Understandably, the discoverers wanted to keep the strike a secret. Brannan agreed, then quietly scoured northern California buying up every shovel, pick and pan he could find until he had cornered the market. He then went around town yelling, “We found gold!” and the Gold Rush was on. Hundreds of people flocked to northern California, all needing shovels, picks and pans to search for gold. And there was Sam, the only source for hundreds of miles around! Sam Brannan never lifted a shovel, never swung a pick, never shifted a pan in the search for gold, but he became the first millionaire of the Gold Rush — selling shovels.

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What Makes Futures Traders Tick? Money!

Futures trading is a risky business. The untrained, unwary, unknowledgeable, undisciplined or sometimes plain unlucky can lose a fortune — and in an agonizingly short time. In fact, the SEC requires futures trading websites to post a disclaimer concerning the potential risks involved in trading commodity futures. You’ll find a full disclosure statement on my Futures Trading Secrets website.

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Futures Traders Must Learn How To “Pull The Trigger”

We’ve been talking about charting basics lately and the signals charts give the futures trader. But signals are worthless if you fail to act. To be a successful futures trader you must not only know when, but have the courage to act. In futures trading, we call this pulling the trigger.

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